| Volume 11/12 Number 4/1 |
Winter 2002/Spring 2003 |
Special Reports
Foreign Direct Investment in Transitional
Economies: Does the Rule of Law Matter?
John Hewko
The conventional wisdom within the international development community is that foreign direct investment (FDI) is an important component of economic growth and prosperity in transitional and developing countries, and that a crucial, if not decisive, factor in enticing such investment is a stable, consistent, fair, and transparent legal and judicial system. As a recent World Bank publication concluded:
The massive move by developing and transition countries toward market economies necessitated the adoption of strategies for the encouragement of private investment, domestic and foreign. Naturally, there was a general realization that such an objective could not be achieved without modifying and, sometimes, completely overhauling the legal and institutional framework and firmly establishing the rule of law, thereby creating the necessary climate of stability and predictability.
Implicit in this general realization is the premise
that the foreign investor is a passive spectator of the reform process,
hesitant to enter the fray until a modification
or overhaul of the legal system has occurred. Based on this assumption,
governments, multilateral institutions, development agencies, and various
nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) have expended considerable resources
in initiating, encouraging, and funding a myriad of legal and judicial reform
programs throughout the transitional and developing world.These actions
have been taken in the belief that legal reform and the establishment of
the rule of law could be accomplished in relatively short order and in the
hope that, once the reform process was complete, FDI would begin to flow.
This article argues that the philosophical framework traditionally used by the international development community to carry out its legislative and institutional reform efforts in the postcommunist countries of Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union is incomplete and has failed to take into account several critical concepts and factors.The principal conclusions may be summarized as follows.
First, the experience of most postcommunist societies demonstrates that legislative and institutional reform is an organic process not conducive to easy or quick solutions. Regardless of whether one holds the view that such reforms can be accomplished from the top down, through aid to state institutions, from the bottom up, through assistance to NGOs and other elements of civil society, or through some combination of both, and regardless of the amount of resources allocated to the problem, the fact remains that the process of legislative and institutional reform is long and tortuous. Genuine reform requires that a new legal culture be developed and ingrained in a society; this takes considerable time, effort, and several generations. As a result, the framework within which legal reform efforts are structured and implemented must be designed with the understanding that, in the absence of external factors (such as harmonization of legislation as a precondition to EU membership or national reunification), most transitional and developing countries will require several decades to develop the legal culture needed for the effective implantation of judicial reform and the rule of law.
Second, an extensive overhaul of a countrys legislative
and institutional framework is generally not a necessary precondition to
attract direct investment from large multinational investors (although certain
changes are generally required to retain such investment) or from smaller,
entrepreneurial investors. Other factors, significantly more important for
investors, are the existence of genuine business opportunities and the overall
visceral perceptions foreign investors have of a host
country (foreign investors for purposes of this article are investors making
direct investments and does not include portfolio investors).
Third, foreign investors, at least in the context of most postcommunist economies, are not passive bystanders in the legislative and institutional reform process, as is widely assumed. Rather, foreign investment is a dynamic force in the forefront of the push for change and an agent for such reform. This phenomenon has been largely misunderstood by the international development community and ignored in the prevailing literature.
Fourth, the international development community has traditionally discussed legislative and institutional reform in grand, sweeping terms and general concepts, issuing calls to modernize bankruptcy legislation, eliminate corruption, and establish an efficient and rule-based judiciary. It has encouraged countries to carry out large-scale and radical legislative reform and to adopt legislation that emulates that of highly developed countries. This approach, although easy to articulate at conferences and television interviews and in eye-catching headlines, is misdirected.
Most foreign investors, when faced with an attractive business
opportunity, are prepared to accept the fact that, in general terms, the
legislation and legal systems in
postcommunist countries are inadequate, and that the laws pertinent to their
concerns are, no doubt, far from ideal. However, once their investment is
made, a short laundry list of specific complaints usually arises, which,
if rectified, would greatly facilitate the success and continued viability
of their investment. As a result, the emphasis of legislative reform efforts
should be on details (not general concepts) and on determining the specific
and often mundane changes that need to occur for existing legislation to
function within the cultural, political, and economic realities of the host
countries while still answering the needs of the foreign investors.
Finally, if a goal of legislative and institutional reform is to attract FDI, considerably more attention needs to be paid by the international development community to the precise concerns of foreign investors and their advisers. Foreign investors place their own resources at risk and spend considerable funds on lawyers and accountants to identify the specific dangers and problems relating to their investments. As a result, foreign investors and their advisers,much more so than a development guru flying in for a weekend of diagnostic analysis, are best suited for identifying exactly the changes needed in the legislative framework to address foreign investors concerns and thus to facilitate FDI.
Nevertheless, a healthy dose of caution is required when addressing
any issue as complex as the process of legislative and institutional reform
in transitional
countries. Although the role of foreign investment in the process has been
neglected and misunderstood, FDI is by no means a panacea. Foreign investors
are generally not altruistic organizations, and their interests may not
always coincide with those of society as a whole or with those of domestic
investors. As a result, the legislative and institutional reform process
should not (and cannot) be left exclusively to foreign investors; domestic
institutions, bilateral donors, international development agencies, and
local and international NGOs must continue to provide the basic impetus
and tools in aide of reform, albeit with a revised philosophical approach.
In addition, any analysis of FDI and the legislative and institutional
reform process must recognize that not all foreign investors are created
equal. Investors from
different countries have varying degrees of tolerance for imperfections
in the host states legal system, and they bring to the table a variety
of values, perspectives, and practices. A foreign investor from a country
with a tradition of corruption and weak enforcement may have a different
view of, and contribution to make to,
legislative and institutional reform than an investor from a country at
the opposite end of the enforcement and corruption spectrum. To the extent
that foreign
investors encourage or support the prevailing legislative or institutional
situation or engage in bribery and other forms of corruption, they become,
of course, part of the problem and not part of the solution. Similarly,
not all postcommunist countries are created equal; for example, the historical,
political, and economic context within which Hungary or the Czech Republic
have attempted to institute legislative and institutional reform is different
from that of many of the former Soviet republics.As a result, although this
paper attempts to provide conclusions that may be applied generally to postcommunist
countries, the development community and foreign investors must consider
those differences when designing specific programs or issuing prescriptions
for any one country.
Foreign investment: The initial phase
The conventional wisdom argues correctly that FDI is a vital aspect of economic
development. Rather than a pernicious force (as maintained by the antiglobalization
protesters at multilateral institution meetings throughout the world), foreign
investment is generally beneficial to a host country. The conventional view
is also correct in recommending that developing and transitional countries
undertake measures to encourage and promote FDI.
However, the view that luring FDI can occur only by modifying
and, sometimes, completely overhauling the legal and institutional framework
and firmly establishing the rule of law, at least as it relates to
postcommunist countries, is not correct.A legal and judicial system that
includes consistent and modern legislation, effective and efficient courts,
and regulatory institutions that interpret and enforce the laws in a fair
and transparent manner is a desirable and laudable
goal and, all things being equal, a country with such an ideal system will
attract more FDI than one that does not. Additionally, a foreign investor
will generally prefer a country whose legal system is developed, fair, open,
and transparent to one in which the rule of law is absent. Nevertheless,
the existence of such a pristine systemor the degree to which it is
absentis often not the decisive factor in attracting foreign investment.
What attracts foreign investment?
The most important factor in attracting FDI remains the existence of actual
business opportunities. Even if a country, under the careful guidance of
the development
community, were to implement a modern, fair, efficient, and transparent
legal system, it would not attract foreign investment in the absence of
genuine economic opportunities.
However, the opposite of the above statement is also true:
if such economic opportunities do exist and are made available, the simple
fact that a countrys legal
system is imperfect will not dissuade FDI.This could be seen in the postcommunist
countries when the advent of perestroika resulted in an explosion of interest
by
foreign investors. Clearly, the deciding factor for foreign investors could
not have been the legal systems in these countries: in the early 1990s,
their laws and legal institutions were generally primitive, undeveloped,
and incapable of addressing the many issues that arise in a market-based
economic system. Rather, early investors were drawn to these countries by
large untapped markets, a highly educated yet inexpensive labor pool, and
tremendous natural resources. In many cases, the deficiencies in a countrys
legal and institutional structures were simply factored into the risk-reward
analysis: the higher the potential rate of return on a given investment,
the more investors were willing to look past deficiencies in a countrys
legal system. In others, the foreign investors were attempting to implement
a longterm strategy to penetrate a given market (or were mimicking or anticipating
moves on the part of their competitors) and were not influenced nor dissuaded
by the state of the legal system.
As a result, if a country offers significant business opportunities
(through privatization or other means) and does not present any formal barriers
to investment (for example, war, significant social unrest, severe economic
crisis, or legislation that prohibits foreign investment), it will attract
a certain level of foreign investment despite the lack of an ideal
legal system. In the case of the postcommunist countries, even if the countries
in the region had immediately reformed their laws and legal institutions
following the fall of the Berlin Wall and the advent of perestroika, it
is doubtful that during the initial period of euphoria they would have obtained
significant additional foreign investment beyond the amount actually received.
Although the potential global investment pool was considerably larger than
the amount that initially made its way into the region, foreign investors
who chose not to invest during the early period were generally investors
with a corporate culture averse to risk, with little foreign investment
experience, or with a competitive cost structure that could not absorb the
costs of higher risk in an uncertain
environment. For these less courageous foreign investors, the fact that
laws and institutions had been reformed on paper would not have been terribly
relevant to their decision-making process.They were more concerned with
onerous tax regimes and inadequate accounting standards and practices, the
risk of expropriation,
the ability to repatriate profits, the manner in which the host countries
would operate in practice, and the fate of their more adventurous colleagues.
A second factor in attracting foreign direct investment in
postcommunist countries was the investors general perception of the
stability and investment climate in the host country.This perception was
rarely based on a thorough understanding of the political, social, legal,
and cultural situation in the country, but, rather, on information obtained
from newspaper headlines and television news reports back home, anecdotes
from previous trailblazers, perceptions as to what their competitors were
thinking and doing, or an article read in the International Herald Tribune
during the flight over. Although the issue of the legal system
formed a part of the overall perception of the foreign investment community,
very rarely was the legal system and its failings (difficulties in enforcing
contract rights, unclear
foreign investment laws, or a poorly drafted or nonexisting bankruptcy act)
the pivotal factor in determining whether an investment was made.
In short, most foreign investors were willing to accept or ignore actual problems in legislation and the legal system if they had a visceral feel good perception of the target country. Conversely, if the general perception of a country were negative or were to decline, foreign investors would be more hesitant even if, on paper, the state of the legal system were actually improving.
Finally, foreign investors tended to place a high premium on clear lines of authority and decision making. A common complaint among investors in those countries that were least successful in attracting FDI was that there was no one in a position of authority to take a decision. Nothing exasperates an investor more than the need to shuffle from ministry to ministry or to negotiate a seemingly endless bureaucratic maze where everyone and no one is in a position to resolve issues or grant approvals.As a result, an exemplary legal system is not nearly as important as the existence of a clear, consistent, and unambiguous decision-making process.
With respect to the postcommunist countries, while a certain
amount of FDI (largely represented by midsized companies) was lost due to
legal uncertainties and the absence of the rule of law, a significant portion
of potential FDI was not affected by such imperfect conditions. Although
objective factors often adversely affected investment decisions, factors
such as corruption, a weak court system, and uncertain laws were generally
not basic deterrents. If they were, one would
not have had any foreign investment at all since these conditions existed
in all of the transitional countries.
Thus, to the extent that the international development community is structuring its legal reform activities within a framework that assumes foreign investment is largely passive and will only enter a transitional country when the legal system has been modified or overhauled, such assumptions are notat least in the context of the postcommunist countries correct. Foreign investors, in making their investment decisions, were influenced first and foremost by the nature of the business opportunity, the potential for high returns, the risk of expropriation, the ability to repatriate profits, the existing tax regimes, and an often superficial feel about a country. Although the state of legal system was a component of foreign investors perception, it was generally not the decisive factor in making an investment decision.
The cycle of foreign investment and legislative reform
The interplay between foreign investment and legislative reform may be seen
most clearly in the process of revising laws and regulations affecting commercial
activities. This dynamic, still present in postcommunist countries, is largely
cyclical, with many starts and stops, and can be summarized as follows:
As part of the process of perestroika, the postcommunist
countries made the political decision to open their borders to foreign investment.
Legislatures or governmental organizations with little or no experience in market concepts or principles adopted legislation, issued decrees, or announced regulations permitting varying degrees of foreign investment.These legislative measures were generally very primitive and failed to address the myriad of issues that arise in a normal marketbased economy.
Many multinationals and small entrepreneurs invested in these countries in spite of the inadequate legal system. (Midsized companies faced the greatest difficulties in investing.They were generally too large to use the informal methods of individual entrepreneurs, yet, in contrast to the multinational investors, too small to muster the resources needed to deal with the bureaucratic and other hurdles of the various systems.)
In carrying out their investments, foreign investors attempted to undertake actions that were a necessary part of their business activities, that were standard procedure in the West, but that were either prohibited by or not addressed in existing legislation. Thus, when problems arose with joint-venture partners or the bureaucratic burdens of operating in a particular country became difficult to accept, investment would begin to falter.
As a result of the increasing legal problems, foreign investors and local elites with a vested interest in foreign investment would begin to complain and demand changes in legislation and procedures; embassies would lobby the host country; and negative press stories in both the domestic and foreign media would put indirect pressure on the host government to address the failure of the initial wave of laws and regulations.
The host states then adopted amendments to the commercial
legislation.These amendments tended to be poorly drafted and only partially
resolved the problems. It was at this point that investors, frustrated with
the process, began to hesitate and withdraw their investments.The negative
publicity of these withdrawals, in turn,
deterred potential new foreign investors.
This entire cycle was repeated several times until gradually the domestic legislation began to conform to the standards required for a sophisticated market economy and the overall perception of the country would improve. Foreign investors who were able to stay the course began to spread the word that the investment climate had improved, and foreign investors who had been sitting on the sidelines began to renew their interest.
With respect to countries such as the Czech Republic,Hungary, and Poland, a further external factorthe need to harmonize domestic legislation with that of the EU as a precondition to EU membershipsignificantly influenced the pace and scope of legislative reform.
Lessons learned
What are the lessons to be learned from this process?
Legislative reform through cyclical and incremental change.
Reform of commercial legislation is a tedious process characterized by a
continuous and seemingly unending series of small, incremental changes resulting
from the cycle described above. Even in those cases where a country adopts
the big bang approach and significantly rewrites its commercial
legislation, the effort is almost always incomplete and, indeed, it gives
rise to the cycle described above, as the significantly
amended legislation becomes subject to a further series of smaller changes
and corrections.A significant driving force in identifying the needed changes
is the foreign investment community (and its advisers), which almost immediately
identifies the problems and inadequacies in new legislation as it attempts
to apply the fresh, untested provisions to existing and contemplated transactions
and commercial activities.
The role of inexperienced legislators.Very few legislators and drafters of commercial legislation have acquired the necessary understanding of how business transactions are carried out in well-established market economies. Parliamentary drafting committees or governmental agencies have often been staffed with civil servants or academics with only a theoretical understanding of how a market economy functions, but with little practical business experience as to how private actors will respond to poorly drafted or enforced legislation.
Laws lag behind actual transactions. The legal system is generally
several steps behind what is occurring in real-world business transactions.
This is not surprising;
it is a rare legislator or government that is capable of foreseeing future
trends in the marketplace. As a result, legislation dealing with cutting-edge
legal issues in a
commercial context almost always follows actual transactions taking place
in the market.
Inadequate consultation with foreign investors and other affected
parties. Although many changes in legislation were either induced by pressure
from the investment
community or were intended to reflect innovations occurring in the host
countrys marketplace, only rarely did the drafters of the legislation
consult with foreign
investors or the lawyers and accountants representing such investors. A
common complaint among the accounting and law firms in the region concerns
the
considerable disconnect between politicians and policy advisers, on the
one hand, and those in the business world, on the other, attempting to carry
out the very
transactions the proposed reforms were meant to encourage. As a result of
this failure to communicate, changes in legislation designed to address
a given
problem were often not quite right, although they could have
been if someone experienced with such transactions (under the existing,
inadequate legislation)
had been consulted in advance.
In fact, generally, the legislative reform process in postcommunist
countries fails to canvas the views of those elements of society most affected
by proposed
reforms. Often legislative reform is hijacked by an elite that will determine
the content of the new law, obtain limited comments from a narrow circle
of cronies, and
then push the new legislation through a parliament that tends to rubber-stamp
executive initiatives. It would be preferable, of course, to obtain the
views of those who need the reforms to pursue their activities more effectively
(namely, the business community) and to include broader public debate among
the interest groups
affected by the proposed changes.
The failure to include a broad range of stakeholders in the
reform process prior to adoption of legislation has at least three negative
consequences. First,
it can perpetuate the anticompetitive interests of cartels, monopolies,
and elites who represent only one set of the many interests involved. Second,
it creates
enemies of the specific reform who can hamper its implementation
out of self-interest or even revenge for not having been included in the
process. Third, it
encourages a lack of respect for the legislative process and the rule of
law generally.
Clearly, the quality and appropriateness of reform legislation would increase substantially if parliaments were to institute a process in which draft commercial legislation was made available for public scrutiny and comment before being brought before the legislators for formal adoption. Such a procedure should be the centerpiece of any development agencys proposal for the reform of a countrys legislative procedures.
Foreign investorsthe ideal source for identifying legislative
deficiencies. The foreign business community and its professional advisers
represent the most efficient
and accurate mechanism for identifying the exact problems in commercial
legislation and regulations. If one purpose of the legal reform efforts
is to create conditions that attract foreign investment, then no actor is
better placed to understand and explain the precise changes necessary in
a country than those entities
investing in that country.
A popular pursuit of the international development community
has been to determine the changes in legislation needed to improve the efficiency,
transparency,
and functioning of a countrys capital markets. A particular goal has
been to specify the legislative changes needed to facilitate access by local
companies to foreign capital markets through the issuance of global depository
receipts (GDRs) or other financial instruments. The traditional approach
of the development community has been to issue a detailed request for proposals
from several consortia of consulting, law, and accounting firms. (On too
many occasions, the effort would be repeated with several development agencies
funding a study of the same problem with little or no coordination between
them.) Often foreign firms with very little or no experience in the country
would bid as a means of establishing a foothold for future business in that
country. At times, the winning consortia would be chosen not so much for
its skill or experience, but on the basis of political considerations (for
example, not enough Portuguese consulting firms have had a chance to dip
their hand into the EBRD technical assistance trough).
Once chosen, the winning consortia would then carry out detailed
diagnostic reviews of the host countrys capital markets. Since the
fees to the consortia were in most cases subject to a cap, junior staff
would generally carry out the review so a profit on the work could be realized
(or at least the loss minimized). Occasionally a senior Western securities
guru would fly in to explain how such legislation is structured and implemented
in the West.The result of this effort would
be a thick and extensive report, presented to the relevant governmental
agency, recommending radical and sweeping changes to the host countrys
securities legislation based on the system in the United States or Western
Europe. Such recommendations would be made with little regard to whether
there was a demand
in the local market for legislative changes of this sort or how to such
legislation would operate within the existing legal culture and system.
Unfortunately, this approach is astonishingly costly, inefficient,
and ineffective, and it often results in advice being provided by experts
who have considerable
knowledge in their fields, but very little understanding of the host country
and its legislation, or by junior staff, with perhaps an understanding of
the country and its legislation but limited knowledge in the field.There
is, however, another more useful and costeffective approach worth considering.
Rather than conducting a tender among various consortia, the
development institution that is funding the diagnostic analysis and the
relevant governmental agency would only need to approach those major law
and accounting firms in the country that have already represented an underwriter
or an issuer in a previous
international securities transaction. Since these firms have been paid considerable
sums to analyze all the legal and accounting issues related to these types
of
transactions and are subject to significant liability risk if they get it
wrong, one can be quite confident they have an extensive understanding of
the legal problems and can immediately identify the exact provisions in
already existing legislation that need to be modified or clarified. This
approach would obviate the need for
extensive and expensive diagnostic studies funded by external agencies since
they already exist in the form of the memoranda these firms have supplied
to their
clients and that summarize in excruciating detail the issues involved in
attempting to carry out an international offering under the host countrys
prevailing
legislation.These memoranda would, of course, be sanitized to remove sensitive
information, repackaged, and, for a fraction of the cost of the traditional
approach,
provide legislators with a detailed explanation of the needed legislative
changes.
The guiding principle in addressing inadequate commercial legislation should not be to suggest wholesale amendments in an effort to ensure that the resulting system complies with an abstract, uniform,and probably utopian standard.We should be guided, rather, by the determination to isolate the specific provisions (or lack thereof) in existing legislation that prevent honest foreign investors from executing business activities in the country and to recommend changes that make sense in light of the countrys social, economic, and cultural conditions. No one is better positioned to provide that information than existing foreign investors and their legal and accounting advisers.
The big-bang approach to legislative reform. There is a tendency
in the international development community to view reform in large grandiose
terms. Emphasis is
often placed on macro issues articulated in a quasidetached
and general fashion: the need to eliminate corruption, to implement legal
and judicial reform, and to develop transparent capital marketsthese
desiderata are repeated mantralike at legal-reform and development conferences.
However, the serious mplementation
of reforms that have a practical impact on a countrys investment climate
requires a focus on details and not on general concepts, if only because
it is usually the details that give rise to actual day-to-day problems.
Unfortunately, the international development community often fails to give
sufficient attention to the micro problems and issues that most
immediately affect the private sector.
This is especially true with respect to legislative reform
and foreign investment. Once a foreign investor takes the leap of faith
and makes an investment, he is
generally not concerned with corruption in general or with the need for
legal reform in the abstract. Rather, he is focused on how specific aspects
of the law and
system affect his particular business: that the ambiguity of one word in
an existing piece of legislation could put at risk the legality of his proposed
transaction, or that official X at window Y at Ministry Z requires a bribe
to issue a routine permit.
Most foreign investors who have committed resources to a country
have probably already accepted the fact that, in general terms, the legislative
and legal systems are inadequate.They are also prepared to accept that any
given piece of legislation is unlikely to conform to an ideal standard.The
immediate focus of committed
investors tends to center around a succinct list of specific complaints
about the one piece of legislation or regulation
that, if rectified, would greatly facilitate the success
and continued viability of their investment.
Unfortunately, many investor surveys carried out by the development
community tend to focus on very broad areas of concern: Is the current bankruptcy
law effective? Are contract rights enforced effectively by the courts? Is
the pledge law incomplete? Is it a concern that laws are not being enforced
consistently, expeditiously, and impartially? When faced with these sorts
of general questions, most foreign investors tend to respond that, yes,
the situation needs improvement. Of course, a foreign investor will prefer
to see a better bankruptcy law or commercial code or be in favor of improved
enforcement mechanismswho would not?
However, understanding in general terms what concerns a foreign investor
is not terribly relevant. What is important is to isolate the specific provisions
in
legislation that need amendment. And this can only be carried out by submitting
to the legal and accounting advisers of the foreign investors already active
in the
country extremely detailed survey questionnaires that delve into the nitty-gritty
of problematic clauses in the laws governing particular situations.
Critical mass for reform and the need to retain foreign investment.
There is little doubt that in the postcommunist countries a certain amount
of FDI was (and will
continue to be) lost in the absence of fully viable legal systems.However,
with respect to the goal of developing appropriate commercial legislation
to attract foreign
investment, the important issue is not that potential investment may have
been lost as a result of an imperfect system, but that enough investment
has been
attracted initially to create a critical mass of large multinational investors
capable of instigating and participating in the process of legislative reform
as described above. It is this critical mass of successful investors that
will set an example for new foreign investors, attracting considerably more
FDI than any long-awaited, and, in truth, never-to be-achieved ideal legal
system.
Nevertheless, it is not sufficient simply to attract foreign
investment; it must also be retained. This is necessary for two reasons.
First, foreign investors play an
important role in the legislative reform process and in the process of institutional
reform. Significant losses of FDI necessarily weaken the overall process
of such
reforms. Second, and perhaps most important, a failure to retain the initial
pioneering foreign investors severely affects a countrys attempt to
encourage new FDI.
There is nothing more frightening to a potential foreign investor than to
hear about or to read in the papers about existing investors losing their
shirts or
liquidating their investments as a result of corruption, inadequate legislation,
and the lack of the rule of law.
Whereas an inadequate legal system is often not a decisive
factor in attracting (or repelling) FDI, the lack of legislative and institutional
reform is a significant
barrier to retaining such investment. Even the most entrepreneurial foreign
investors have a limit as to the type and level of systemic difficulties
they are willing to
endure. In Russia, for example, a significant number of foreign investors
lost considerable sums in the 1998 financial crisis.These events had a significant
impact on
foreign investors perceptionnot only were the losses significant
but they occurred in a manner that made painfully evident the unique inadequacies
of Russian
laws and the general lack of the rule of law and a legal culture.When Russian
banks start rescinding currency swaps and forward contracts on the grounds
that they
constitute illegal gambling, when foreign creditors see assets
being blatantly stripped from their debtors, and when the courts begin to
rule that force majeure events have occurred (the force majeure event being
that one party to the transaction has no money)all of these actions
raise, once again, among foreign investors the concerns about a Wild
East that had been pushed aside when things were going well.
As a result, reform efforts must recognize that it is extremely
important for the host state to retain a critical mass of foreign investment,
and that legislative and
institutional reform be a key component of such efforts. However, in carrying
out such reforms it is important to bear in mind, and to work within, the
lessons and principles outlined abovein particular, to consult adequately
with foreign investors and to identify the specific deficiencies in the
legislation of
concern to such investors.
The need for a new paradigm
In light of the lessons learned from past efforts, a fundamental shift is
required in the manner in which the international development community
views certain
aspects of legal reform in postcommunist countries, particularly in the
area of commercial legislation and regulations.The community should move
away from a
process almost exclusively driven and created by multilateral organizations
and NGOs to a process that recognizes and expands the role of the private
sector.
This new paradigm also calls for a change in focus, away from working feverishly
to develop perfect legislation that will attract all possible investment
and/or funding grandiose diagnostic studies and toward an emphasis on working
with host countries in order to attract and retain a persuasive threshold
level of investment. This new effort would establish (together with the
host country) a more direct and meaningful dialogue with existing foreign
investors (perhaps through the various chambers of commerce located in each
country), would focus on specific investor concerns within the framework
of existing legislation, and would recognize, finally, that the process
of legislative reform is long, tedious, and subject to an almost continuous
cycle of incremental change and trial and error.
John Hewko is a partner with the law firm of Baker & McKenzie. From 1990 to 2001 he practiced law in Moscow,Kyiv, and Prague. This article is a shortened version of the original Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Working Paper No. 26 (Washington, D.C., 2002).
A Quarterly Published by New York University Law School
and Central European University
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